Alex de Minaur vs Yunchaokete Bu
Beijing | Hard | Round of 32
26 Sep 2025, 05:00
26 Sep 2025, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Yunchaokete … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
16.07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
69/98 = 70.4%
Yunchaokete Bu
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
15.11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
60/100 = 60.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 115.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 17.4286 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.8581 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3626.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 58.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20.2726 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9.9925 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70.5666 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.2940 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69.6078 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59.6154 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 98.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 100.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4082 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0.0151 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.3227 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8.5450 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.5952 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.0933 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.3700 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 47.1250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 22.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1538 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6071 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3488 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.0599 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.7399 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 57.9414 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0907 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1179 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 81.0904 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.9600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8365 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.1578 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10004
API ID
14752017
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10004,
"api_id": 14752017,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Yunchaokete Bu",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-26T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.07,
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"wr_surface": 70.40816326530613,
"wr_surface_wins": 69,
"wr_surface_total": 98,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 60,
"wr_surface_total": 100,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
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"best_rank_diff": 58,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.272611572160336,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.98,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.61538461538461,
"p1_surface_matches": 98,
"p2_surface_matches": 100,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.015079193882584718,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.32266864409454854,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.545043556004345,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.595191253037143,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.093272285506927,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3699632913655817,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 47.12500000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1538461538461537,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3488372093023256,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.059895399794183,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.739873717975126,
"surface_rank_synergy": 57.94137201823822,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09066596194503163,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11793984622342824,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 81.09044628864135,
"utr_diff": 0.9600000000000009,
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"utr_advantage": 6.157793457344457,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}