Alex de Minaur vs Yunchaokete Bu
Beijing | Hard | Round of 32
26 Sep 2025, 09:00
26 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Yunchaokete … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
39/55 = 70,9%
Yunchaokete Bu
Ranking
#120
UTR Rating
14,91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
14/33 = 42,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 114,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 20,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,9957 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3581,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 58,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,2726 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,9925 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9800 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,5666 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,2940 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6078 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,6154 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 98,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 100,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4082 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,0151 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,3227 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,5450 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5952 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,0933 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3700 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 46,2050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1538 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3488 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0599 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7399 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 60,7313 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0917 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1169 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 81,0904 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8129 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,3636 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10004
API ID
14752017
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10004,
"api_id": 14752017,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Yunchaokete Bu",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-26T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 120,
"utr_singles": 14.91,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.42424242424242,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.89,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.91,
"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 20.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.995732273553991,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 3581,
"best_rank_diff": 58,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.272611572160336,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.99245852187029,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.98,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 70.56659619450316,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.293984622342826,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.61538461538461,
"p1_surface_matches": 98,
"p2_surface_matches": 100,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.015079193882584718,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.32266864409454854,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.545043556004345,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.595191253037143,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.093272285506927,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3699632913655817,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 46.205000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1538461538461537,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3488372093023256,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.059895399794183,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.739873717975126,
"surface_rank_synergy": 60.73131675594483,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09166596194503163,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11693984622342823,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 81.09044628864135,
"utr_diff": 0.9800000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_p2": 0.8129411764705883,
"utr_advantage": 6.363636363636366,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}