Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Bublik
Beijing | Hard | Round of 32
26 Sep 2025, 08:10
26 Sep 2025, 08:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15.73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#34
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
30/74 = 40.5%
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
16.13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
36/66 = 54.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -58.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1594 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.8362 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -2053.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.8801 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13.2601 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1212 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41.0088 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41.0256 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.2857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18.6435 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7.9615 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.3453 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.1311 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.3693 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7.5332 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6863 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.6432 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.6834 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25.4868 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0319 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0091 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9565 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.5110 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10008
API ID
14758226
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10008,
"api_id": 14758226,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
"player2": "Alexander Bublik",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-26T08:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.73,
"utr_ranking": 34,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 40.54054054054054,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 16.13,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 66,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 34,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -1.836211231798889,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -2053,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.880116959064324,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.121212121212121,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.00877192982456,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.02564102564102,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 66,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1891891891891892,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.643483625730994,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.961514619883047,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.345298245614039,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.1311461988304075,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.3693274853801114,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.53315789473684,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.499999999999986,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6862745098039216,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.643191735943404,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.683445002499276,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.48682665891615,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.031912280701754336,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.009111111111111181,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.9094117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.956470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -2.5109855618330106,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}