Priscilla Hon vs Jelena Ostapenko
Beijing | Hard | Round of 64
26 Sep 2025, 10:30
26 Sep 2025, 10:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Priscilla … | Jelena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Priscilla Hon
Ranking
#119
UTR Rating
12.00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
26/46 = 56.5%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
28/52 = 53.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -96.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1933 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.6436 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1156.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -89.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12.2394 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.4286 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.2609 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.0215 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.7047 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.6890 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0155 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3.4948 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0235 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8723 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 72.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 57.6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1176 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7981 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.2992 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.4534 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -20.1170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1786 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1358 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4824 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.8299 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10028
API ID
14760009
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10028,
"api_id": 14760009,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Priscilla Hon",
"player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-09-26T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.0,
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"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": -1156,
"best_rank_diff": -89,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.23936418887331,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8846153846153846,
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"surface_wr_p2": 46.02150537634408,
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"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7046825619448356,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.6890322580645147,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0154838709677492,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.494838709677424,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.023548387096774093,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8722767648433862,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"momentum_diff": 72.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 57.68,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1176470588235294,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7981220657276995,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.299188435282309,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.453353563060109,
"surface_rank_synergy": -20.11697731492974,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17860869565217385,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13578494623655918,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.09999999999999964,
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_advantage": -0.8298755186721962,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}