Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Rinderknech
Beijing | Hard | Round of 16
27 Sep 2025, 09:00
27 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
39/55 = 70,9%
Arthur Rinderknech
Ranking
#28
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/35 = 45,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5404 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2529,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,0666 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,7343 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1807 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 70,5666 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6078 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,8736 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 98,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 83,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4082 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,3653 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,6913 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,8164 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,6862 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,9296 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,6323 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1676 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6071 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4595 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,0091 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0990 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 32,4519 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1837 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0170 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 42,1332 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6786 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10043
API ID
14712225
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10043,
"api_id": 14712225,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Arthur Rinderknech",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-27T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
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"wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 28,
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"wr_surface": 45.714285714285715,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2529,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.066596194503163,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.180722891566265,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 49.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
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"p1_surface_matches": 98,
"p2_surface_matches": 83,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.365302774841439,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.6912735200845646,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.8164233615222045,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.686155126849897,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.929574524312891,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.6322965116279065,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.850000000000009,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1676136363636365,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4594594594594595,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.0091401242089444,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.099000836259219,
"surface_rank_synergy": 32.45193363745848,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1836659619450316,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.017000000000000015,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 42.133192389006325,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
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"utr_p2": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 2.678571428571428,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}