Carlos Alcaraz vs Zizou Bergs
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 16
27 Sep 2025, 08:30
27 Sep 2025, 08:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carlos … | Zizou … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
61/75 = 81.3%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#61
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
43/76 = 56.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 43.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3.7612 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 10832.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25.2343 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23.4968 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9868 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 6.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 82.7326 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.4983 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 79.7468 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 75.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 76.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.6267 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.3566 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.1356 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6.1319 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.4468 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.2275 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.5254 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30.3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.3579 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7767 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5238 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.8589 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.1764 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 94.9112 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2853 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1170 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 50.4686 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.9800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8753 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.1519 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10048
API ID
14707429
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10048,
"api_id": 14707429,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"player2": "Zizou Bergs",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-27T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 81.33333333333333,
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"wr_surface_total": 75,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.44,
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"wr_surface": 56.57894736842105,
"wr_surface_wins": 43,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 38,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9868421052631579,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 6,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 79.74683544303798,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"p1_surface_matches": 75,
"p2_surface_matches": 76,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6266666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.356643997082955,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.1356062950249,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.1319497292462515,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.446803670284758,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.227508536600105,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5253720346016859,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 51.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.349999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3578732106339468,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.858903734843255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.176415899159182,
"surface_rank_synergy": 94.91121687937986,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2853255813953488,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.116982674982675,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 50.46858128253477,
"utr_diff": 0.9800000000000022,
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"utr_advantage": 6.151914626490912,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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}