Carlos Alcaraz vs Zizou Bergs
Tokyo | Hard | Round of 16
27 Sep 2025, 12:30
27 Sep 2025, 12:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carlos … | Zizou … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
37/43 = 86,0%
Zizou Bergs
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
23/39 = 59,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 43,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,7612 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 10880,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,2343 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,4968 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9868 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 6,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 82,7326 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,4983 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 79,7468 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 75,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 76,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6267 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,3566 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,1356 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,1319 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,4468 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,2275 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5254 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,3579 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7767 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5238 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8589 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1764 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 94,9112 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2853 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1170 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 50,4686 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,4357 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10048
API ID
14707429
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Tokyo
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10048,
"api_id": 14707429,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"player2": "Zizou Bergs",
"tournament": "Tokyo",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-27T08:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.32,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 43,
"utr_singles": 15.15,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.97435897435898,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 72,
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 43.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.7612001156935624,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 10880,
"best_rank_diff": 38,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.234290641267386,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.49683544303798,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9868421052631579,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 6,
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"surface_wr_p2": 57.4982674982675,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 79.74683544303798,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"p1_surface_matches": 75,
"p2_surface_matches": 76,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6266666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.356643997082955,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.1356062950249,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.1319497292462515,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.446803670284758,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.227508536600105,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5253720346016859,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 51.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.349999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3578732106339468,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7766990291262136,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.858903734843255,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.176415899159182,
"surface_rank_synergy": 94.91121687937986,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2853255813953488,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.116982674982675,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 50.46858128253477,
"utr_diff": 1.17,
"utr_p1": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 7.435653002859867,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}