Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Musetti
Beijing | Hard | Round of 16
28 Sep 2025, 09:35
28 Sep 2025, 09:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
22/37 = 59,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0725 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,6247 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3295,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,6128 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,7689 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0725 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,0088 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6216 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,0256 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,7945 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,6975 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9918 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,5845 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,5188 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,1985 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3131 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,6150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6863 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0466 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5152 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,0352 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4613 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 40,9786 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0259 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0022 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,5690 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10086
API ID
14712227
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10086,
"api_id": 14712227,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Adrian Mannarino",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-28T05:35:52+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.45945945945946,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.37,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.77,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.07246376811594203,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.624668592163159,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -3295,
"best_rank_diff": -12,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.61284969179706,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.768879522304182,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0724637681159421,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.00877192982456,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.62162162162162,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.02564102564102,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.794520547945204,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1891891891891892,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.6975103524577335,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.9918483285917574,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.5845474751066817,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.51878585822665,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.1985410739686984,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3131109728149202,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.614999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6862745098039216,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.035194396078756,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.461296369409794,
"surface_rank_synergy": 40.978556220224,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.025912280701754442,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00221621621621626,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -2.5690430314707795,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}