Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Beijing | Hard | Round of 16
28 Sep 2025, 07:15
28 Sep 2025, 07:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
59/87 = 67.8%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15.93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
47/80 = 58.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0769 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0741 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 125.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6.8589 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.6996 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66.8717 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.0128 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67.0330 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 80.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3563 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12.9458 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8.3415 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.4686 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.8585 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.9259 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.1672 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4.3550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8844 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8038 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5227 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.3672 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.5863 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.5083 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1677 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1011 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9329 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0628 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10087
API ID
14712237
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10087,
"api_id": 14712237,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
"player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-28T07:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.94,
"utr_ranking": 17,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 67.81609195402298,
"wr_surface_wins": 59,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.93,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 58.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 47,
"wr_surface_total": 80,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.858898384380254,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.699633699633686,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 80,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3563218390804598,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.945792807685109,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.34154388372528,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.4685836816168631,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.8585075790655736,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.925898883413396,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.167222880668703,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.355000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.884375,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8038147138964578,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5227272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.3672280193772686,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.586273257862393,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.5082990504748596,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16771686108165418,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10112787723785166,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
"utr_p1": 0.9341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.9329411764705882,
"utr_advantage": 0.06275494195167737,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}