Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic
Tokyo | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Sep 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Casper … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casper Ruud
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/33 = 66,7%
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking #78
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/43 = 44,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 65,0000
rank_ratio 6,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,7918
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 2049,0000
best_rank_diff 46,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,5826
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,6463
surface_matches_ratio 0,8780
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,1282
surface_wr_p2 45,5456
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,1579
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,5116
p1_surface_matches 72,0000
p2_surface_matches 82,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2778
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,9466
first_serve_won_diff 0,8677
second_serve_won_diff 4,4769
bp_saved_diff 3,8386
bp_converted_diff 1,6848
aces_per_match_diff -2,8617
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,8600
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2783
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1715
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4565
serve_consistency_p1 5,4137
serve_consistency_p2 4,5584
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 35,0873
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0863
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0205
elite_surface_amplifier 39,1652
UTR
utr_diff 0,8000
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,7965
utr_advantage 5,2736
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10091
API ID 14707428
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10091,
    "api_id": 14707428,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Casper Ruud",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Vukic",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-09-28T07:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.77,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "best_rank_diff": 46,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 45.54561717352415,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.51162790697674,
    "p1_surface_matches": 72,
    "p2_surface_matches": 82,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2777777777777778,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -3.946606277443479,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8676711660432801,
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    "bp_saved_diff": 3.8386035669756495,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.6847926492112535,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.861749878028947,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.859999999999985,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2782874617737003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1715328467153285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.413670408918495,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
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    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}