Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima
Tokyo | Hard | Quarterfinals
28 Sep 2025, 12:15
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carlos … Brandon … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 37/43 = 86,0%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/39 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 30,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,4012
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 10515,0000
best_rank_diff 28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,7545
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20,1509
surface_matches_ratio 0,7895
surface_tournaments_won_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_p1 82,7326
surface_wr_p2 56,9780
surface_wr_p1_stable 79,7468
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,5960
p1_surface_matches 75,0000
p2_surface_matches 95,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6267
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,0656
first_serve_won_diff 1,4233
second_serve_won_diff 7,0850
bp_saved_diff -4,4659
bp_converted_diff 7,5902
aces_per_match_diff -2,4514
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,5900
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9785
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5238
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4902
serve_consistency_p1 6,8055
serve_consistency_p2 1,3355
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 87,5963
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2983
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0988
elite_surface_amplifier 51,5091
UTR
utr_diff 0,9100
utr_p1 0,9788
utr_p2 0,8718
utr_advantage 5,7359
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10092
API ID 14707438
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10092,
    "api_id": 14707438,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-09-28T08:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 16.32,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 39,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 30.0,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 10515,
    "best_rank_diff": 28,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.754536161512902,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.15087584707839,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7894736842105263,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 82.73255813953489,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.978021978021985,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.59595959595959,
    "p1_surface_matches": 75,
    "p2_surface_matches": 95,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.6266666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.065608601669652,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.4232941477127525,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.084952402248909,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.465933187452087,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.59022608931766,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.451370698100349,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.589999999999989,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3578732106339468,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9785407725321889,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.49019607843137253,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.805488916173468,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.3354798332472624,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 87.59626095846099,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2983255813953488,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09878021978021989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 51.509072323025805,
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    "utr_advantage": 5.735896627797038,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}