Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
Beijing | Hard | Quarterfinals
29 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Jakub … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 39/55 = 70,9%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 11,0000
rank_ratio 2,8333
log_rank_ratio 1,0415
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1735,0000
best_rank_diff 10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,4416
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,5126
surface_matches_ratio 1,2250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,5666
surface_wr_p2 63,1250
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6078
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,0952
p1_surface_matches 98,0000
p2_surface_matches 80,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4082
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,6055
first_serve_won_diff -3,5476
second_serve_won_diff 6,1932
bp_saved_diff -2,3575
bp_converted_diff 7,5378
aces_per_match_diff -7,8448
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,2200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8981
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0930
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6071
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5370
serve_consistency_p1 2,0389
serve_consistency_p2 4,5993
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,7501
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1947
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1423
elite_surface_amplifier 7,4416
UTR
utr_diff 0,4900
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,8706
utr_advantage 3,1320
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10136
API ID 14712235
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Beijing
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10136,
    "api_id": 14712235,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alex de Minaur",
    "player2": "Jakub Mensik",
    "tournament": "Beijing",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-09-29T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 15.89,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.89,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 11,
    "rank_ratio": 2.8333333333333335,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0414538748281612,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 1735,
    "best_rank_diff": 10,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.441596194503163,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.5126050420168085,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.225,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.56659619450316,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.125,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.095238095238095,
    "p1_surface_matches": 98,
    "p2_surface_matches": 80,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.605465274841421,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.5476485200845502,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.193173361522199,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.3575301268498947,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.537824524312889,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.844796511627907,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.219999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.092964824120603,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5370370370370371,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.0388750324801137,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.599276034116015,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.7500791916718175,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1946659619450316,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14225,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 7.441596194503163,
    "utr_diff": 0.4900000000000002,
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.8705882352941177,
    "utr_advantage": 3.1319910514541403,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}