Adrian Oetzbach vs Lucas Gerch
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
28 Sep 2025, 19:20
28 Sep 2025, 19:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adrian … | Lucas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adrian Oetzbach
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#846
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Lucas Gerch
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#476
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Adrian Oetzbach
Record 2025
45W - 34L (57%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Lucas Gerch
Record 2025
27W - 17L (61%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
13,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,1077 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 23,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,6154 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -65,6364 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -67,2240 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -58,7480 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -61,9860 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -33,8580 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,2000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 230,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2667 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6859 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9823 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10204
API ID
14785939
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Alicante, Spain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10204,
"api_id": 14785939,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Adrian Oetzbach",
"player2": "Lucas Gerch",
"tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-09-28T15:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.29,
"utr_ranking": 846,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 45,
"utr_v4_losses": 34,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.9620253164557,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.25,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.11,
"opponent_name": "Cezar (2001) Cretu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.67,
"opponent_name": "Sebastiano Cocola"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.6,
"opponent_name": "Filippo Romano"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.7,
"opponent_name": "Mikail Alimli"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.13,
"opponent_name": "Jonathan Mridha"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:02.209809+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.83,
"utr_ranking": 476,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.36363636363637,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.53,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.69,
"opponent_name": "Alec Deckers"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.34,
"opponent_name": "Adrian Oetzbach"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.89,
"opponent_name": "Kristjan Tamm"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.92,
"opponent_name": "Tymur Bieldiugin"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.46,
"opponent_name": "Gian Luca Tanner"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:24.873826+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.29,
"ranking": 846,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.83,
"ranking": 476,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 26.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.107692307692309,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.25,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 23.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.615384615384613,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.3666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -65.63639999999998,
"first_serve_won_diff": -67.22399999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": -58.748,
"bp_saved_diff": -61.986000000000004,
"bp_converted_diff": -33.858,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.199999999999999,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 230,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2666666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5400000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.6223529411764704,
"utr_p2": 0.6858823529411765,
"utr_advantage": -3.9823008849557593,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}