Luca Potenza vs Maks Kasnikowski
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Qualification Final
29 Sep 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Luca … Maks … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Potenza
Ranking #372
UTR Rating 13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #501
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Hard 11/17 = 64,7%
Maks Kasnikowski
Ranking #420
UTR Rating 14,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #351
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 13/21 = 61,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48,0000
rank_ratio 1,1290
log_rank_ratio 0,1214
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 18,0000
best_rank_diff -189,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,4902
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,6785
surface_matches_ratio 0,3091
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,7059
surface_wr_p2 59,2157
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,9048
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,9322
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 55,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2941
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,2472
first_serve_won_diff -0,3182
second_serve_won_diff 5,3012
bp_saved_diff -5,3206
bp_converted_diff -7,8735
aces_per_match_diff -1,8392
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,2800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0930
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5357
serve_consistency_p1 6,0039
serve_consistency_p2 10,0575
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,6663
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0991
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1402
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2800
utr_p1 0,6812
utr_p2 0,7141
utr_advantage -2,0101
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10205
API ID 14789208
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Alicante, Spain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10205,
    "api_id": 14789208,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Luca Potenza",
    "player2": "Maks Kasnikowski",
    "tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-09-29T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 372,
      "utr_singles": 13.79,
      "utr_ranking": 501,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 420,
      "utr_singles": 14.07,
      "utr_ranking": 351,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.904761904761905,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 501,
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 351,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 1.1290322580645162,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.12136085700426753,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 18,
    "best_rank_diff": -189,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.490196078431374,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.678504170029597,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3090909090909091,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.70588235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.2156862745098,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.932203389830505,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 55,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.247196078431358,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.31823529411764184,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.301176470588246,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.32058823529411,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.873529411764707,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8392156862745095,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.280000000000001,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0930232558139534,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.00388515941977,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.057511749705103,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.6662949011999004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09905882352941164,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1401568627450981,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.28000000000000114,
    "utr_p1": 0.6811764705882352,
    "utr_p2": 0.7141176470588235,
    "utr_advantage": -2.0100502512562897,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}