Luca Potenza vs Maks Kasnikowski
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Qualification Final
29 Sep 2025, 13:00
29 Sep 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Maks … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Potenza
Ranking
#372
UTR Rating
13,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#501
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
11/17 = 64,7%
Maks Kasnikowski
Ranking
#420
UTR Rating
14,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#351
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
13/21 = 61,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1290 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1214 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 18,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -189,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,4902 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,6785 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3091 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,2157 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,9048 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,9322 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2472 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,3182 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,3012 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,3206 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,8735 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8392 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,2800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0930 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5357 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0039 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0575 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,6663 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0991 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1402 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7141 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,0101 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10205
API ID
14789208
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Alicante, Spain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10205,
"api_id": 14789208,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luca Potenza",
"player2": "Maks Kasnikowski",
"tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-09-29T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 372,
"utr_singles": 13.79,
"utr_ranking": 501,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 420,
"utr_singles": 14.07,
"utr_ranking": 351,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.904761904761905,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.79,
"ranking": 501,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.07,
"ranking": 351,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 48,
"rank_ratio": 1.1290322580645162,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.12136085700426753,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 18,
"best_rank_diff": -189,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.490196078431374,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.678504170029597,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3090909090909091,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.2156862745098,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.932203389830505,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.247196078431358,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.31823529411764184,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.301176470588246,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.32058823529411,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.873529411764707,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8392156862745095,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.280000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0930232558139534,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.00388515941977,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.057511749705103,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.6662949011999004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09905882352941164,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1401568627450981,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.28000000000000114,
"utr_p1": 0.6811764705882352,
"utr_p2": 0.7141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -2.0100502512562897,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}