Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz
Tokyo | Hard | Final
30 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carlos … Taylor … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 61/75 = 81.3%
Taylor Fritz
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 16.00 Pro
UTR Ranking #11
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 59/88 = 67.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 5.0000
rank_ratio 6.0000
log_rank_ratio 1.7918
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 7915.0000
best_rank_diff 3.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15.3957
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13.4425
surface_matches_ratio 0.8523
surface_tournaments_won_diff 5.0000
surface_wr_p1 82.7326
surface_wr_p2 67.3368
surface_wr_p1_stable 79.7468
surface_wr_p2_stable 66.3043
p1_surface_matches 75.0000
p2_surface_matches 88.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.6267
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10.0799
first_serve_won_diff -1.5021
second_serve_won_diff 5.1972
bp_saved_diff -6.7675
bp_converted_diff 5.8562
aces_per_match_diff -5.4440
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 98.0000
momentum_diff 2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 4.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.3579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.2700
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5238
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5652
serve_consistency_p1 5.9979
serve_consistency_p2 3.5829
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 27.5854
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.3223
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1784
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.4200
utr_p1 0.9906
utr_p2 0.9412
utr_advantage 2.5910
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 10238
API ID 14707430
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Tokyo
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10238,
    "api_id": 14707430,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Taylor Fritz",
    "tournament": "Tokyo",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-09-30T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 16.42,
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      "wr_surface": 81.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 61,
      "wr_surface_total": 75,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 16.0,
      "utr_ranking": 11,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.04545454545455,
      "wr_surface_wins": 59,
      "wr_surface_total": 88,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.442487616951027,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8522727272727273,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 82.73255813953489,
    "surface_wr_p2": 67.33684210526316,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.30434782608695,
    "p1_surface_matches": 75,
    "p2_surface_matches": 88,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.6266666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.079929357405149,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.5021201958384154,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.197244247246012,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.767456380048962,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.8562056150550745,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.444021266829867,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3578732106339468,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5652173913043478,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.997880814663578,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.5828885333720937,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 27.58541998995257,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.32232558139534884,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17836842105263162,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.4200000000000017,
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    "utr_advantage": 2.590993214065402,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
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    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}