Eva Lys vs McCartney Kessler
Beijing | Hard | Round of 16
30 Sep 2025, 05:30
30 Sep 2025, 05:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eva … | McCartney … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eva Lys
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
12.41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
38/62 = 61.3%
McCartney Kessler
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
50/77 = 64.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.2549 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -267.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3.4599 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.5915 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8052 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.2544 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.6061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.1975 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2258 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.6278 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.6644 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.2200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.3700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.5983 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.1808 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7401 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7450 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4118 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.4597 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.7324 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.8819 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1215 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1381 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5176 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0806 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10240
API ID
14787923
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10240,
"api_id": 14787923,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Eva Lys",
"player2": "McCartney Kessler",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-30T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 61.29032258064516,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.4,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 64.93506493506493,
"wr_surface_wins": 50,
"wr_surface_total": 77,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -267,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.459930313588849,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8051948051948052,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
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"surface_wr_p2": 64.71428571428571,
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"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 77,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22580645161290322,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.627821138211374,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.664390243902432,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.21999999999998465,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.3699999999999974,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5982926829268322,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1808130081300812,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7401129943502824,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7449664429530202,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4117647058823529,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.459742891313592,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.73236555811124,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.8819094211895067,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12154355400696859,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13814285714285712,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
"utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5176470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 0.08061265618701964,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}