Roberto Carballés Baena vs Tommy Paul
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
17 Ene 2025, 06:10
17 Ene 2025, 06:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Roberto … | Tommy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roberto Carballés Baena
Ranking
#147
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
7/18 = 38,9%
Tommy Paul
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
15,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
16/23 = 69,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -127,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1361 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,9947 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1623,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28,3531 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -24,1538 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7541 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0794 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4325 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,1538 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 61,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1739 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,7555 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,9593 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,5986 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,0560 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,8682 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,6481 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1585 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0776 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4815 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5619 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7878 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 56,5560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0278 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0573 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8976 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1025
API ID
13300885
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1025,
"api_id": 13300885,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Roberto Carball\u00e9s Baena",
"player2": "Tommy Paul",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-01-17T02:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 147,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.56521739130434,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.63,
"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.1360544217687075,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.9947003132247452,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -1623,
"best_rank_diff": -41,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.353129199811114,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -24.153846153846146,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7540983606557377,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.07936507936508,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.4324942791762,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.15384615384615,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 61,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.17391304347826086,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.755481693363848,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.95928171878974,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.59856452726018,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.0560350150739097,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.8682261813955208,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.648135737895463,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.0999999999999943,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1584699453551912,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0776014109347443,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.48148148148148145,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.561894557839444,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.787780609330427,
"surface_rank_synergy": 56.5559956957649,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.027793650793650815,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.057324942791761924,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.8976470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}