Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Jerome Kym
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Round of 32
30 Sep 2025, 09:00
30 Sep 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolas … | Jerome … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Ranking
#365
UTR Rating
14.23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#261
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
19/32 = 59.4%
Jerome Kym
Ranking
#188
UTR Rating
14.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/32 = 59.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -177.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5151 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6635 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -180.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -96.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2.8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1875 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16.4033 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.0960 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.4970 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.7905 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4.9910 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6.2531 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -54.2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 28.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 31.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9448 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.7923 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.7250 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.8798 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2937 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0887 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7682 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.0862 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10270
API ID
14785948
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Alicante, Spain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10270,
"api_id": 14785948,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nicolas Alvarez Varona",
"player2": "Jerome Kym",
"tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-30T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 365,
"utr_singles": 14.23,
"utr_ranking": 261,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.375,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 188,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.375,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.23,
"ranking": 261,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.53,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5150684931506849,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6634553907525423,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -180,
"best_rank_diff": -96,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.8333333333333215,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.833333333333336,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1875,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.40329047619049,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.096000000000004,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.497,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.790499999999994,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.991,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.253095238095238,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -54.199999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 28,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 31,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9448275862068966,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.792315216916854,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7250385464118096,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.879790273798862,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29366666666666663,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08866666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.29999999999999893,
"utr_p1": 0.7329411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
"utr_advantage": -2.086230876216961,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}