Tom Gentzsch vs Nicolas Jarry
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Round of 32
30 Sep 2025, 11:00
30 Sep 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tom … | Nicolas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tom Gentzsch
Ranking
#290
UTR Rating
14.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#350
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
10/21 = 47.6%
Nicolas Jarry
Ranking
#123
UTR Rating
15.31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/30 = 36.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -167.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4241 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.8577 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -318.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -253.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15.2273 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8.3000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 29.7727 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 38.2353 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9.0918 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.9714 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.1659 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5.6905 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12.6600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.5282 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 41.9790 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 36.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7879 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3810 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.7060 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.8270 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -13.0604 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3693 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.2700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8600 | |
| utr_advantage | -8.6542 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10276
API ID
14785943
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Alicante, Spain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 14785943,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tom Gentzsch",
"player2": "Nicolas Jarry",
"tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-30T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.04,
"utr_ranking": 350,
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"wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
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"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.31,
"utr_ranking": 79,
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"wr_surface": 36.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -318,
"best_rank_diff": -253,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.227272727272727,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.3,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.091767676767674,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.971363636363648,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.16590909090908923,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.690454545454543,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.66,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.528156565656565,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 41.979,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7878787878787878,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.38095238095238093,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.70604097649628,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.826997746709186,
"surface_rank_synergy": -13.060379552214282,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11700000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3692727272727273,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.2700000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.7105882352941175,
"utr_p2": 0.8600000000000001,
"utr_advantage": -8.65417376490631,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}