Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova
Beijing | Hard | Round of 16
30 Sep 2025, 14:25
30 Sep 2025, 14:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jasmine … | Marie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
47/74 = 63.5%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
12.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
38/65 = 58.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5.2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.6582 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3065.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4.1657 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.8495 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.2794 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.1136 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62.8205 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57.9710 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2703 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.0316 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.2225 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.6746 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.5062 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.2624 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.0614 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8454 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6822 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.9231 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.0353 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6.9078 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1088 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1351 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 8.3315 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5271 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.8775 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10323
API ID
14788594
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10323,
"api_id": 14788594,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jasmine Paolini",
"player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-09-30T14:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.51351351351351,
"wr_surface_wins": 47,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.46153846153847,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.59,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 34,
"rank_ratio": 5.25,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.6582280766035324,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 3065,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.16574279379158,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.849498327759193,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1384615384615384,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.27937915742794,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.11363636363636,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.82051282051282,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.971014492753625,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2702702702702703,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.0316067073170814,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.222480598669634,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6746286031042104,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.5061502217294915,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.262411308203987,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0613774944567629,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8454258675078864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6822429906542056,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.9230743001208874,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.035323783924632,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.9077516605740374,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10879379157427937,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1351363636363636,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 8.33148558758316,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_advantage": 0.8775428799361742,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}