Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova
Beijing | Hard | Round of 16
30 Sep 2025, 18:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jasmine … Marie … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #17
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 27/41 = 65,9%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 36,0000
rank_ratio 5,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,7047
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3042,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,1657
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,8495
surface_matches_ratio 1,1385
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2794
surface_wr_p2 60,1136
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,8205
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,9710
p1_surface_matches 74,0000
p2_surface_matches 65,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2703
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,0316
first_serve_won_diff -2,2225
second_serve_won_diff 0,6746
bp_saved_diff 0,5062
bp_converted_diff -4,2624
aces_per_match_diff -1,0614
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8454
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6822
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 2,9231
serve_consistency_p2 13,0353
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,1015
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1068
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1371
elite_surface_amplifier 8,3315
UTR
utr_diff 0,1100
utr_p1 0,5400
utr_p2 0,5271
utr_advantage 0,8775
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10323
API ID 14788594
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Beijing
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10323,
    "api_id": 14788594,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jasmine Paolini",
    "player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
    "tournament": "Beijing",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-09-30T14:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 17,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.85365853658537,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.59,
      "ranking": 17,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 36,
    "rank_ratio": 5.5,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 3042,
    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.16574279379158,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.849498327759193,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1384615384615384,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.27937915742794,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.11363636363636,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.82051282051282,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.971014492753625,
    "p1_surface_matches": 74,
    "p2_surface_matches": 65,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2702702702702703,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.0316067073170814,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.222480598669634,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.6746286031042104,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.5061502217294915,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.262411308203987,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0613774944567629,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8454258675078864,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6822429906542056,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.9230743001208874,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.035323783924632,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.101542080472163,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10679379157427937,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1371363636363636,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 8.33148558758316,
    "utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "utr_p1": 0.54,
    "utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_advantage": 0.8775428799361742,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}