Lorenzo Carboni vs Oliver Crawford
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Round of 32
30 Sep 2025, 14:40
30 Sep 2025, 14:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Oliver … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Carboni
Ranking
#428
UTR Rating
13.74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#519
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
4/6 = 66.7%
Oliver Crawford
Ranking
#199
UTR Rating
14.22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#267
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -229.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4650 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.7658 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -189.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -232.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13.5897 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.8333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53.0769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.5556 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.8189 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.5369 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7.5392 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9.3023 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.9128 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 71.4286 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 33.4286 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24.5724 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 26.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.9578 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.9390 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -10.4073 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3957 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1982 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7318 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.4335 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10349
API ID
14796029
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Alicante, Spain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Lorenzo Carboni",
"player2": "Oliver Crawford",
"tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-09-30T14:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
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"best_rank_diff": -232,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.589743589743584,
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"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.8189487179487145,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.536923076923074,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.539230769230748,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.3023076923077,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9128205128205127,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"momentum_diff": 33.42857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.572428571428567,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
"match_load_p1": 2,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.957767792634817,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.938990575999114,
"surface_rank_synergy": -10.407275296265926,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3956666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1982307692307692,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4800000000000004,
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"utr_p2": 0.731764705882353,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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