Paula Badosa vs Marta Kostyuk
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
17 Jan 2025, 01:40
17 Jan 2025, 01:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Paula … | Marta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
39/60 = 65.0%
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12.53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
45/69 = 65.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0400 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0392 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 17.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 14.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.4042 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0.3211 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8696 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.8900 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.2941 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64.0625 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.3836 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.5793 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.9612 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.3816 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.2960 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.1122 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4921 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 71.4286 | |
| momentum_diff | 6.5714 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11.5449 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9567 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8282 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.1509 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.9872 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.0943 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1179 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1439 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5329 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.5571 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1036
API ID
13301001
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1036,
"api_id": 13301001,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Paula Badosa",
"player2": "Marta Kostyuk",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-01-17T01:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 25,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.53,
"utr_ranking": 19,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 45,
"wr_surface_total": 69,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.6,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.53,
"ranking": 19,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 1,
"rank_ratio": 1.04,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.03922071315328133,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 17,
"best_rank_diff": 14,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.404165493948767,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.32106164383561975,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8695652173913043,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.889952153110045,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.29411764705881,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.0625,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.38356164383562,
"p1_surface_matches": 60,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.579308640585417,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.961172248803848,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.38163157894736344,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.2960382775119683,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.112191387559804,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.492116521249648,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 71.42857142857143,
"momentum_diff": 6.571428571428555,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.544897959183672,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9566787003610109,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8281853281853282,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.150924803471232,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.98720967458966,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.09429308521118152,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11789952153110039,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14394117647058813,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.07000000000000028,
"utr_p1": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.5329411764705881,
"utr_advantage": 0.5571030640668546,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}