Valentin Royer vs Mariano Navone
Shanghai | Hard | Round of 128
02 Oct 2025, 07:50
02 Oct 2025, 07:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valentin … | Mariano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
15.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
45/77 = 58.4%
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
15.34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#75
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
8/31 = 25.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 15.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2632 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2336 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 151.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 32.0102 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 29.4533 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.4839 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59.0270 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27.0168 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.0247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 28.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1688 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7.7256 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.4489 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0136 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.9462 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7.1703 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.0985 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 78.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 61.7100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 6.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6602 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4872 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.5888 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.1334 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.4781 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0753 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2148 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.6498 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10389
API ID
14803484
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Shanghai
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10389,
"api_id": 14803484,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Valentin Royer",
"player2": "Mariano Navone",
"tournament": "Shanghai",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-10-02T07:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.44,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 58.44155844155844,
"wr_surface_wins": 45,
"wr_surface_total": 77,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.34,
"utr_ranking": 75,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 25.806451612903224,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -27,
"surface_wr_diff": 32.010220304337956,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4838709677419355,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16883116883116883,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.725550238473772,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.4488803088803195,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0136177606177554,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.946193050193052,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.170343629343634,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.098512377924142,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 78.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 61.71,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6601941747572816,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48717948717948717,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.588759027950882,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.133420643583582,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.478062852685104,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07527027027027033,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21483193277310925,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
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"utr_p2": 0.8635294117647059,
"utr_advantage": 0.6497725795971387,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}