Daniel Merida vs Maks Kasnikowski
Alicante, Spain | Hard | Round of 16
01 Oct 2025, 20:30
01 Oct 2025, 20:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Maks … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Merida
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
14,00 General
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/18 = 55,6%
Maks Kasnikowski
Ranking
#420
UTR Rating
14,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#351
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
13/21 = 61,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 256,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5610 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9404 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 241,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,2018 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,9322 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,0139 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,2157 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,9322 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,9141 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,8578 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9599 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,6789 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,4856 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,8866 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,1800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0930 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5357 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1910 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,7233 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,7725 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2359 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3482 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,2018 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7141 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,4988 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10410
API ID
14785814
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Alicante, Spain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10410,
"api_id": 14785814,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniel Merida",
"player2": "Maks Kasnikowski",
"tournament": "Alicante, Spain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-01T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 420,
"utr_singles": 14.07,
"utr_ranking": 351,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.904761904761905,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 216,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 351,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.5609756097560976,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9403882834532156,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 241,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.201797385620914,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.932203389830505,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6181818181818182,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.013888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.2156862745098,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.932203389830505,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 55,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.914052287581697,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.857818627450982,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9599264705882362,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.678921568627445,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.4856372549019525,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.8865604575163397,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -42.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.179999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0930232558139534,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.191024140516555,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.723253731110141,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.772485881241907,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2358611111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.34815686274509805,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.201797385620914,
"utr_diff": -0.07000000000000028,
"utr_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.7141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -0.4987531172069845,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}