Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai | Hard | Round of 64
03 Oct 2025, 12:50
03 Oct 2025, 12:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#108
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#145
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5648 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5713 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -344,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,9701 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,1455 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,0610 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,2632 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 81,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 72,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0864 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -26,3909 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,7663 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,9404 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,9236 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,6661 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -9,3628 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,1010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6115 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4815 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5893 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1599 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0926 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,8392 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0876 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0561 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,8319 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10438
API ID
14762058
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Shanghai
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10438,
"api_id": 14762058,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luca Nardi",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "Shanghai",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-10-03T08:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.16,
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"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"best_rank_diff": -38,
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"p1_surface_matches": 81,
"p2_surface_matches": 72,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08641975308641975,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -26.390912971175176,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.766292128603112,
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"bp_saved_diff": -6.923610310421296,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.666113082039907,
"aces_per_match_diff": -9.36282150776053,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"momentum_diff": 22.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.101000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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"match_load_p1": 2,
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"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6115107913669064,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8639455782312925,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48148148148148145,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5892857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.159891450622949,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.0925608969824925,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.8391870932471464,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08760975609756105,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05609090909090919,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
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"utr_advantage": -3.8319327731092456,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
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"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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}