Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula
Beijing | Hard | Quarterfinals
03 Oct 2025, 14:00
03 Oct 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emma … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Navarro
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
34/49 = 69,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9163 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2938,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,8519 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,2694 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9080 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,8248 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,0602 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 79,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3165 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,1803 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,9841 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7743 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7797 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,9801 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1780 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7074 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2527 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2350 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,1109 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1272 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1978 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5116 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10445
API ID
14809558
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10445,
"api_id": 14809558,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emma Navarro",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-03T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 49,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.75,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -9,
"rank_ratio": 0.4,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.916290731874155,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -2938,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.851922295858209,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.269429365814915,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9080459770114943,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.824769433465086,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.06024096385542,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"p1_surface_matches": 79,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.31645569620253167,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.1802527068659785,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.984072186394826,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.7743239026419815,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.779722280008322,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.9801123361764112,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1779597214379824,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7073732718894009,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.252701271748642,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.235038093699569,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.11093435896507,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12724769433465088,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19776691729323292,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4399999999999995,
"utr_p1": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_advantage": -3.511572226656021,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}