Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula
Beijing | Hard | Quarterfinals
03 Oct 2025, 10:00
03 Oct 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emma … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Navarro
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
12.37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#31
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
52/79 = 65.8%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
62/87 = 71.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.9163 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -3068.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8.8519 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.2694 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9080 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61.8248 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70.6767 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.0602 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70.3297 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 79.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3165 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.1803 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.9841 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.7743 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7.7797 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.9801 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.1780 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7074 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9061 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4348 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.2527 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.2350 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8.1109 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1272 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1978 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.2604 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10445
API ID
14809558
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Beijing
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10445,
"api_id": 14809558,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emma Navarro",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Beijing",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-03T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 12.37,
"utr_ranking": 31,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.82278481012658,
"wr_surface_wins": 52,
"wr_surface_total": 79,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.26436781609196,
"wr_surface_wins": 62,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.37,
"ranking": 31,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.78,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.4,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.916290731874155,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -3068,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.851922295858209,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.269429365814915,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9080459770114943,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.824769433465086,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.6766917293233,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.06024096385542,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.32967032967034,
"p1_surface_matches": 79,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.31645569620253167,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.1802527068659785,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.984072186394826,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.7743239026419815,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.779722280008322,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.9801123361764112,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1779597214379824,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7073732718894009,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.906060606060606,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.252701271748642,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.235038093699569,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.11093435896507,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12724769433465088,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19776691729323292,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.5141176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": -3.2604373757455285,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}