Maria Timofeeva vs Kaja Juvan
WTA 125K Samsun, Turkiye Women Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
03 Oct 2025, 10:35
03 Oct 2025, 10:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Kaja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking
#142
UTR Rating
11.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50.0%
Kaja Juvan
Ranking
#102
UTR Rating
12.16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
10/18 = 55.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -40.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7183 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3309 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -257.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -35.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23.2321 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.3333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.4444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 31.1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.3750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.3316 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.4963 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6.8900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.6737 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.9862 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.2418 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7.2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7851 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.4045 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.4350 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.6865 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1486 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0037 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4894 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.1613 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10465
API ID
14763093
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Samsun, Turkiye Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10465,
"api_id": 14763093,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Timofeeva",
"player2": "Kaja Juvan",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Samsun, Turkiye Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-03T10:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 129,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 102,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 129,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.7183098591549296,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.33085424431698957,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -257,
"best_rank_diff": -35,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.232142857142858,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.3333333333333295,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4444444444444444,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 31.142857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.375,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.3315535714285716,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.4962500000000034,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.890000000000001,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.6737499999999983,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.9862499999999983,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2417857142857145,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.199999999999989,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7851239669421488,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.40447654326059,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.435033329573715,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.686453068864347,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14857142857142852,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.00374999999999992,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.4894117647058824,
"utr_advantage": -2.1612635078969227,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}