Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai | Hard | Round of 64
04 Oct 2025, 08:05
04 Oct 2025, 08:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15.93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
47/80 = 58.8%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
33/65 = 50.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 47.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.3571 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.4718 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1752.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10.1359 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7.6087 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2308 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60.0128 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.8769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.7246 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 80.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.6888 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.9167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.9738 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.8834 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7.1041 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.4113 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8.0610 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5038 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5227 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6897 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.3112 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.5736 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14.9182 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0531 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0458 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20.2718 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.2536 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10481
API ID
14762044
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Shanghai
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"tournament": "Shanghai",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-10-04T08:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 65,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"momentum_p1": 38.0,
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"match_load_p1": 2,
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"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05312787723785173,
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"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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