Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jesper De Jong
Shanghai | Hard | Round of 32
06 Oct 2025, 08:30
06 Oct 2025, 08:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,1250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2110 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3227,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 66,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,1410 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,5438 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6809 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1410 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,4458 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,9020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 79,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2405 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,8919 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,7243 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,4389 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,1703 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5208 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,6991 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,0400 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9496 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5517 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6634 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,6178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22,4220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0664 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0950 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 30,4231 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,1509 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10572
API ID
14762077
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Shanghai
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10572,
"api_id": 14762077,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "Shanghai",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-06T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 5,
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"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.97,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 5,
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 92,
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 9.125,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.211017899468555,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 3227,
"best_rank_diff": 66,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.141025641025635,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6808510638297873,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
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"surface_wr_p2": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.44578313253012,
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"p1_surface_matches": 79,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.24050632911392406,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.89193171717173,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.724271794871811,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.438941258741259,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.170303651903637,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5208435120435126,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.6990567210567207,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.039999999999992,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9495967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5517241379310345,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.66344415082822,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.617810797106003,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.421989211277257,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06641025641025644,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09499999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 30.423076923076906,
"utr_diff": 0.9499999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.8200000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 6.150857882809966,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}