Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko
Wuhan | Hard | Round of 64
07 Oct 2025, 13:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sorana … Jelena … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking #41
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 26/41 = 63,4%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking #24
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 8/21 = 38,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -17,0000
rank_ratio 0,5854
log_rank_ratio -0,5355
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -492,0000
best_rank_diff -16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,2511
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,1060
surface_matches_ratio 1,1154
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,2726
surface_wr_p2 46,0215
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,6774
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,5714
p1_surface_matches 58,0000
p2_surface_matches 52,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2069
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8180
first_serve_won_diff 0,5624
second_serve_won_diff -0,5279
bp_saved_diff 5,7948
bp_converted_diff -2,8516
aces_per_match_diff -0,4704
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 28,7700
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 10,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9135
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7981
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 10,7099
serve_consistency_p2 5,7474
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,6317
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1197
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0568
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3800
utr_p1 0,5271
utr_p2 0,4824
utr_advantage 3,0919
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10630
API ID 14826979
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Wuhan
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10630,
    "api_id": 14826979,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
    "player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
    "tournament": "Wuhan",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2025-10-07T09:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 41,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 24,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 38.095238095238095,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 25,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -17,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5853658536585366,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5355182363563622,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -492,
    "best_rank_diff": -16,
    "surface_wr_diff": 14.251091467271415,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.105990783410142,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1153846153846154,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.272596843615496,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.02150537634408,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.67741935483871,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "p1_surface_matches": 58,
    "p2_surface_matches": 52,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.20689655172413793,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.8179822125545826,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.5624311565696161,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.5279307631786025,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.794838709677428,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.851573564122745,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.4704092809429037,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 28.770000000000003,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9134615384615384,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7981220657276995,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.709941309699621,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.7473926780142,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.63171936870639,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11972596843615502,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05678494623655922,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.3800000000000008,
    "utr_p1": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
    "utr_advantage": 3.0919446704637985,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}