Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko
Wuhan | Hard | Round of 64
07 Oct 2025, 09:20
07 Oct 2025, 09:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Jelena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
35/58 = 60.3%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
28/52 = 53.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -20.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5349 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6257 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -557.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14.2511 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6.1060 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1154 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60.2726 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.0215 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59.6774 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2069 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0.8180 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.5624 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.5279 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5.7948 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.8516 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.4704 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28.7700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9135 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7981 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.7099 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.7474 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.9170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0598 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4824 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.6906 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10630
API ID
14826979
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wuhan
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10630,
"api_id": 14826979,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"tournament": "Wuhan",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-10-07T09:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 26,
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"wr_surface": 60.3448275862069,
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"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
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"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -16,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.20689655172413793,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8179822125545826,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.5624311565696161,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5279307631786025,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.794838709677428,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.851573564122745,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4704092809429037,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.770000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9134615384615384,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7981220657276995,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.709941309699621,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.7473926780142,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.916992009154006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12272596843615502,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05978494623655922,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.33000000000000007,
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"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_advantage": 2.6905829596412563,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}