Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova
Wuhan | Hard | Round of 16
09 Oct 2025, 05:30
09 Oct 2025, 05:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Liudmila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
71/86 = 82.6%
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12.38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/54 = 48.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 16.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 17.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.8332 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 8661.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 35.7155 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 32.8352 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.5926 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 7.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83.8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.1481 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48.2759 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.7415 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.2388 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4.3582 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.8002 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.7944 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.0927 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1.7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6703 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.8053 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.1319 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 101.1896 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3226 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0025 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35.7155 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5153 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.6548 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10688
API ID
14851915
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wuhan
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10688,
"api_id": 14851915,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Liudmila Samsonova",
"tournament": "Wuhan",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-09T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 82.55813953488372,
"wr_surface_wins": 71,
"wr_surface_total": 86,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 12.38,
"utr_ranking": 30,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.97,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.38,
"ranking": 30,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 16,
"rank_ratio": 17.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.833213344056216,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 8661,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"surface_wr_diff": 35.715488215488215,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 32.8352490421456,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5925925925925926,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 7,
"surface_wr_p1": 83.86363636363636,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.148148148148145,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"p1_surface_matches": 86,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7414949494949425,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2387878787878748,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.358181818181819,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.800151515151512,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.7943939393939345,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.09267676767676836,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.779999999999987,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6703296703296703,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.805265808237124,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.131873437264133,
"surface_rank_synergy": 101.18959780160374,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3226363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.002518518518518531,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.715488215488215,
"utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5152941176470589,
"utr_advantage": 4.654832347140038,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}