Aryna Sabalenka vs Liudmila Samsonova
Wuhan | Hard | Round of 16
09 Oct 2025, 09:30
09 Oct 2025, 09:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Liudmila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
36/42 = 85,7%
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking
#18
UTR Rating
12,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/27 = 48,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 18,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,8904 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 8868,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 35,7155 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 32,8352 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5926 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 7,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83,8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,1481 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,2759 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,7415 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,2388 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,3582 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,8002 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7944 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0927 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4,3300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6703 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8053 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1319 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 103,2310 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3216 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0015 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35,7155 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5129 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8164 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10688
API ID
14851915
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wuhan
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10688,
"api_id": 14851915,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Liudmila Samsonova",
"tournament": "Wuhan",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-09T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
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"wr_surface": 85.71428571428571,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.36,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 18.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.8903717578961645,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 8868,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"surface_wr_diff": 35.715488215488215,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 32.8352490421456,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5925925925925926,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 7,
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"surface_wr_p2": 48.148148148148145,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
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"p1_surface_matches": 86,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7414949494949425,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2387878787878748,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.358181818181819,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.800151515151512,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.7943939393939345,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.09267676767676836,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.329999999999984,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6703296703296703,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.805265808237124,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.131873437264133,
"surface_rank_synergy": 103.23103845752041,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3216363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0015185185185185301,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.715488215488215,
"utr_diff": 0.6100000000000012,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5129411764705881,
"utr_advantage": 4.8164232135807445,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}