Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur
Shanghai | Hard | Quarterfinals
10 Oct 2025, 10:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking #17
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 59/87 = 67.8%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 16.07 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 69/98 = 70.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -6.0000
rank_ratio 0.5385
log_rank_ratio -0.6190
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -1375.0000
best_rank_diff 5.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3.6949
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2.5749
surface_matches_ratio 0.8878
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 66.8717
surface_wr_p2 70.5666
surface_wr_p1_stable 67.0330
surface_wr_p2_stable 69.6078
p1_surface_matches 87.0000
p2_surface_matches 98.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3563
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7.7535
first_serve_won_diff 3.9533
second_serve_won_diff -2.9436
bp_saved_diff -1.7489
bp_converted_diff -5.3468
aces_per_match_diff 3.3300
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 92.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 6.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8844
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8981
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6111
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6071
serve_consistency_p1 9.8815
serve_consistency_p2 10.8245
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2.2873
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1747
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1997
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.1300
utr_p1 0.9341
utr_p2 0.9494
utr_advantage -0.8122
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 10704
API ID 14762042
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Shanghai
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 10704,
    "api_id": 14762042,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
    "player2": "Alex de Minaur",
    "tournament": "Shanghai",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-10T10:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
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      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.03296703296702,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "p1_surface_matches": 87,
    "p2_surface_matches": 98,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3563218390804598,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 7.7535096809920105,
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    "match_load_p1": 6,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.884375,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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