Jasmine Paolini vs Iga Swiatek
Wuhan | Hard | Quarterfinals
10 Oct 2025, 11:00
10 Oct 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jasmine … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
47/74 = 63.5%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
77/94 = 81.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.3863 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -4070.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16.6272 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17.7917 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7872 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.2794 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 80.9066 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62.8205 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 80.6122 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 94.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2703 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.2144 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.7847 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.4346 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.6612 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.5585 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.2458 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -2.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8454 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9835 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.7994 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.5470 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23.0502 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1488 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3031 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5400 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5776 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.5098 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10709
API ID
14859803
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wuhan
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10709,
"api_id": 14859803,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jasmine Paolini",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "Wuhan",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-10T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.51351351351351,
"wr_surface_wins": 47,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.91,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 81.91489361702128,
"wr_surface_wins": 77,
"wr_surface_total": 94,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 3,
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.25,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3862943611198906,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -4070,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.627214249165462,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.79173207744637,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7872340425531915,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.27937915742794,
"surface_wr_p2": 80.9065934065934,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.82051282051282,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 80.61224489795919,
"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 94,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2702702702702703,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.214396792232158,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.784724604663623,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.434619648644031,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.6612211568918838,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.558500219292895,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.245824297653566,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -2,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8454258675078864,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9835294117647059,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.799422153791325,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.5469976323202355,
"surface_rank_synergy": 23.050213354750376,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1487937915742794,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.30306593406593396,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.54,
"utr_p2": 0.5776470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -2.5098039215686296,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 2
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}