Ilia Simakin vs Ugo Blanchet
Almaty | Hard | Qualification Round 1
11 Oct 2025, 06:00
11 Oct 2025, 06:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ilia … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ilia Simakin
Ranking
#255
UTR Rating
14.03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#345
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
31/45 = 68.9%
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
14.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
32/62 = 51.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -110.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5686 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5645 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -213.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -89.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14.5657 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15.8318 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7258 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.2222 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67.3469 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.5152 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.5617 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.6876 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.6756 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.1444 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.9644 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.9603 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8.3600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 36.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7943 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.2231 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.2468 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8.2227 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2979 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0678 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7718 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.7076 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10718
API ID
14865782
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Almaty
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10718,
"api_id": 14865782,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ilia Simakin",
"player2": "Ugo Blanchet",
"tournament": "Almaty",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-10-11T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 255,
"utr_singles": 14.03,
"utr_ranking": 345,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 14.56,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 345,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5686274509803921,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5645298027378518,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -213,
"best_rank_diff": -89,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.56565656565656,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.83178726035868,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7258064516129032,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.78787878787878,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.3469387755102,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.515151515151516,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.37777777777777777,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.5617050505050614,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.6875555555555621,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6755959595959666,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.1443636363636429,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.9644444444444389,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.96030303030303,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7943262411347518,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.223114193006227,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.24675246320161,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.222747227757393,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29787878787878785,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06777777777777783,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5300000000000011,
"utr_p1": 0.7094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.771764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -3.707590066456811,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}