Lilli Tagger vs Camila Osorio
Ningbo, China | Hard | Qualification Round 1
11 Oct 2025, 05:35
11 Oct 2025, 05:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lilli … | Camila … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lilli Tagger
Ranking
#153
UTR Rating
11.89 Junior
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55.6%
Camila Osorio
Ranking
#78
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/48 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -75.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5098 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6737 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -393.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -119.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6.6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.8127 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.9615 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 48.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.9059 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.6308 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8.0517 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8.7992 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.0150 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.6625 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -5.7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17.3722 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 208.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6608 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.0816 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15.7406 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4.4915 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1250 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0917 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4576 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10734
API ID
14864144
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Ningbo, China
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10734,
"api_id": 14864144,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lilli Tagger",
"player2": "Camila Osorio",
"tournament": "Ningbo, China",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-10-11T05:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 153,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 78,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -75,
"rank_ratio": 0.5098039215686274,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6737290947028438,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -393,
"best_rank_diff": -119,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.8126923076923065,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.99999999999999,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.96153846153846,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 48,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.9059166666666698,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.6308333333333422,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.05166666666667,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.799166666666672,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.015000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6624999999999996,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666671,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": -5.777777777777779,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.372222222222227,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 208,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6608187134502924,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.081631568517492,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.740646486838846,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.491527298018958,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12499999999999989,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09166666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_p2": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}