Naomi Osaka vs Wakana Sonobe
Osaka | Hard | Round of 32
13 Oct 2025, 04:40
13 Oct 2025, 04:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Naomi … | Wakana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
37/55 = 67.3%
Wakana Sonobe
Ranking
#232
UTR Rating
11.61 Junior
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
4/9 = 44.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 216.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 14.5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.6741 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2170.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 223.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 34.4355 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14.9549 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 6.1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69.4355 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 35.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66.1017 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45.0385 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 55.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3455 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 16.2141 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 13.4838 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.8350 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.2387 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 20.8488 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.1609 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.2650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 210.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0576 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5263 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.4367 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.4947 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 92.0856 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0216 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0660 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 137.7419 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.9900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4247 | |
| utr_advantage | 8.1784 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10808
API ID
14873660
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Osaka
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10808,
"api_id": 14873660,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Naomi Osaka",
"player2": "Wakana Sonobe",
"tournament": "Osaka",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-13T04:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 67.27272727272727,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 55,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 232,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 16,
"division": "Junior",
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"points_diff": 2170,
"best_rank_diff": 223,
"surface_wr_diff": 34.435483870967744,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.954895697522819,
"surface_matches_ratio": 6.111111111111111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.43548387096774,
"surface_wr_p2": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.10169491525424,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.03846153846154,
"p1_surface_matches": 55,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.34545454545454546,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"serve_quality_diff": 16.21414919354838,
"first_serve_won_diff": 13.48375,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.835000000000008,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.238749999999989,
"bp_converted_diff": 20.84875,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.160887096774194,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 1.9999999999999964,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.265,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 210,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0576131687242798,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5263157894736842,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.436710097499304,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.494663944013967,
"surface_rank_synergy": 92.0856026858974,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.021645161290322568,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06599999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 137.74193548387098,
"utr_diff": 0.9900000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 8.178438661710038,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}