Maria Sakkari vs Ashlyn Krueger
Osaka | Hard | Round of 32
13 Oct 2025, 12:20
13 Oct 2025, 12:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Ashlyn … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/35 = 42,9%
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
18/34 = 52,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1698 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1568 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 107,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 26,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,7793 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,8118 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8406 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,5652 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,3445 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,4247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,2430 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0714 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,7127 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,5990 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,3348 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,4325 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,1010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,9123 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,6099 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,5928 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0133 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0424 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2402 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10811
API ID
14873657
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Osaka
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10811,
"api_id": 14873657,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Ashlyn Krueger",
"tournament": "Osaka",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-13T08:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 60,
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.15684247149296968,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 107,
"best_rank_diff": 26,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.7793204238217086,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8405797101449275,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 53.34453781512605,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.42465753424658,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.243023529411765,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.07139130434782714,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.71269565217392,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5989565217391402,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.3347826086956474,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.432455242966753,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.101000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6192893401015228,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6347826086956522,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.912349161658682,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.6099101183847546,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.5927579558360544,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.01334782608695656,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04244537815126048,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.15000000000000036,
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"utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_advantage": 1.2401818933443602,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}