Valentin Royer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Brussels, Belgium Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
13 Oct 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valentin … Gilles … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Royer
Ranking #58
UTR Rating 15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #79
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Ranking #208
UTR Rating 14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #334
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 150,0000
rank_ratio 3,5862
log_rank_ratio 1,2771
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 641,0000
best_rank_diff 145,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,6396
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -4,9702
surface_matches_ratio 25,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0270
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,0247
surface_wr_p2_stable 65,4429
p1_surface_matches 77,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1688
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,0117
first_serve_won_diff 4,0546
second_serve_won_diff -0,8628
bp_saved_diff -11,3024
bp_converted_diff -14,1475
aces_per_match_diff 3,1216
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,2000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4872
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,1595
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -9,7565
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0597
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3167
elite_surface_amplifier -15,2793
UTR
utr_diff 0,9900
utr_p1 0,8341
utr_p2 0,7176
utr_advantage 6,7831
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10819
API ID 14875646
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Brussels, Belgium Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10819,
    "api_id": 14875646,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Valentin Royer",
    "player2": "Gilles Arnaud Bailly",
    "tournament": "ATP Brussels, Belgium Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-10-13T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 58,
      "utr_singles": 15.09,
      "utr_ranking": 79,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 208,
      "utr_singles": 14.1,
      "utr_ranking": 334,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.09,
      "ranking": 79,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.1,
      "ranking": 334,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 150,
    "rank_ratio": 3.586206896551724,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2770950691548986,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 641,
    "best_rank_diff": 145,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.639639639639626,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.970171075837734,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 25.666666666666668,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.02702702702703,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.0246913580247,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.44285714285714,
    "p1_surface_matches": 77,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16883116883116883,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6699999999999999,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.011697297297296,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.05459459459459,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.8628108108108137,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.302378378378378,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.147513513513516,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.121621621621621,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.199999999999989,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48717948717948717,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.159502661404492,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -9.756546113904072,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.059729729729729675,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.31666666666666654,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -15.279279279279251,
    "utr_diff": 0.9900000000000002,
    "utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.7176470588235294,
    "utr_advantage": 6.783144912641317,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}