Tom Paris vs Matthew William Donald
Olbia, Italy | Hard | Qualification Final
13 Oct 2025, 12:00
13 Oct 2025, 12:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tom … | Matthew … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tom Paris
Ranking
#272
UTR Rating
13,98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#384
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
11/21 = 52,4%
Matthew William Donald
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#609
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tom Paris
Sin datos UTR v4
Matthew William Donald
Record 2025
43W - 30L (59%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 228,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8382 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6088 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 200,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 248,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,3610 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 11,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,1481 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0435 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,1710 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,8167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,6800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,2933 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,7100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_diff | -7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,3571 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,2266 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,1471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,1174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3613 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2280 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6612 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6087 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
10840
API ID
14874833
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Olbia, Italy
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10840,
"api_id": 14874833,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tom Paris",
"player2": "Matthew William Donald",
"tournament": "Olbia, Italy",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-10-13T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 272,
"utr_singles": 13.98,
"utr_ranking": 384,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.62,
"utr_ranking": 609,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 58.9041095890411,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.23,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.31,
"opponent_name": "Daniel Paty"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.24,
"opponent_name": "Jakub Filip"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Giannicola Misasi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.54,
"opponent_name": "Luca Wiedenmann"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Remy Dugardin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.625332+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.98,
"ranking": 384,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.62,
"ranking": 609,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 228,
"rank_ratio": 1.838235294117647,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6088060321261943,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 200,
"best_rank_diff": 248,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.333333333333329,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.360987654320986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 11.5,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.148148148148145,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.043478260869565216,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.170999999999992,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.816666666666663,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.68,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.29333333333331524,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.7099999999999973,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_diff": -7.142857142857153,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.357142857142861,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.226571304497126,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.14705882352941302,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.117413761682588,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3613333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22799999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.3600000000000012,
"utr_p1": 0.703529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.6611764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 2.6086956521739215,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}