Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian Korda
Stockholm | Hard | Round of 32
13 Oct 2025, 15:45
13 Oct 2025, 15:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexei … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexei Popyrin
Ranking
#54
UTR Rating
15.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/50 = 52.0%
Sebastian Korda
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
35/59 = 59.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1178 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -100.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15.2989 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6.8783 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8475 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42.9885 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58.2874 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.7302 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 50.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 59.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0400 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.1282 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.4111 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.4297 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3.4714 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10.7925 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.9757 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5.8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 45.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1869 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9573 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6552 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.4901 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.8777 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.8019 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0641 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0769 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.7983 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10881
API ID
14871766
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Stockholm
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 10881,
"api_id": 14871766,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexei Popyrin",
"player2": "Sebastian Korda",
"tournament": "Stockholm",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-13T15:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 67,
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"wr_surface": 52.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 15.71,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 59.32203389830508,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 59,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 67,
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -100,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.847457627118644,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.730158730158735,
"p1_surface_matches": 50,
"p2_surface_matches": 59,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.04,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.1281540229884968,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.41112643678160055,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.4296781609195506,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.471448275862059,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.792505747126434,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9757471264367812,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.850000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 45,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1869158878504673,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9572953736654805,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6551724137931034,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.490141682643667,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.877684525624408,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.8019450627430629,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06411494252873567,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07687356321839078,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.28000000000000114,
"utr_p1": 0.8741176470588234,
"utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
"utr_advantage": -1.7983301220295511,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}