Alex Michelsen vs Juncheng Shang
Next Gen Finals | Hard |
20 Dec 2024, 11:00
20 Dec 2024, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Juncheng … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
51/87 = 58.6%
Juncheng Shang
Ranking
#253
UTR Rating
15.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
33/57 = 57.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 215.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6.6579 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.8958 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1110.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4.9302 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0.2841 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.9057 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59.8358 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59.0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59.3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1935 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.8996 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.9092 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.3496 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.9743 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4.5806 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8795 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 1.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 1.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 100.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 73.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7768 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9094 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4872 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7037 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.6322 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2.6471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9.3467 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1659 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3134 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -14.7905 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8753 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.6324 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
109
API ID
13232341
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Next Gen Finals
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 109,
"api_id": 13232341,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Juncheng Shang",
"tournament": "Next Gen Finals",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2024-12-20T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
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"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 51,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 253,
"utr_singles": 15.44,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 57,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 6.657894736842105,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8958033290011345,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 1110,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.930180935911004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.2840909090909065,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0333333333333334,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.90566037735849,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.83584131326949,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
"p1_surface_matches": 62,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1935483870967742,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.899565487098748,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9092189556823058,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3495655989469029,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.9743089074155336,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.580596752961824,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8795223223119875,
"last5_wr_diff": 1.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 100.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 73.5,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.776824034334764,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9093655589123867,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48717948717948717,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7037037037037037,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.632218844984806,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.647058823529413,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.34665343087801,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.16594339622641519,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.31335841313269497,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -14.790542807733011,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
"utr_p1": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8752941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -1.632386549134835,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}