Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gonzalo Bueno
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Semifinals
18 Jan 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Gonzalo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking #257
UTR Rating 14.29 Pro
UTR Ranking #233
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Clay 50/89 = 56.2%
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking #212
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Clay 63/115 = 54.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -45.0000
rank_ratio 0.8249
log_rank_ratio -0.1925
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -64.0000
best_rank_diff 145.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3.7253
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1.2921
surface_matches_ratio 0.7739
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 59.0904
surface_wr_p2 55.3652
surface_wr_p1_stable 55.9140
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.6218
p1_surface_matches 89.0000
p2_surface_matches 115.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1236
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9.5346
first_serve_won_diff 7.6000
second_serve_won_diff 1.0200
bp_saved_diff 5.2800
bp_converted_diff 0.1300
aces_per_match_diff 2.7143
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2500
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 91.8367
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -8.1633
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 4.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5405
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4688
serve_consistency_p1 9.8564
serve_consistency_p2 0.7428
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0.7171
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1359
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0087
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0000
utr_p1 0.7400
utr_p2 0.7400
utr_advantage 0.0000
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 1091
API ID 13309607
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1091,
    "api_id": 13309607,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
    "player2": "Gonzalo Bueno",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-01-18T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.29,
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      "wr_surface": 56.17977528089888,
      "wr_surface_wins": 50,
      "wr_surface_total": 89,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 212,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 63,
      "wr_surface_total": 115,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "ranking": null,
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  },
  "features": {
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    "surface_wr_diff": 3.7252509544049275,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2921297551278528,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 55.365185636031654,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.91397849462365,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.621848739495796,
    "p1_surface_matches": 89,
    "p2_surface_matches": 115,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.12359550561797752,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.534644485583009,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.599999999999994,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.0200000000000031,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.280000000000001,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.13000000000000256,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.714322242791506,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 91.83673469387755,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -8.16326530612244,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46875,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.856377855455786,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.7428192448828355,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7170728492472268,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13590436590436583,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.7399999999999999,
    "utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}