Lorenzo Sonego vs Learner Tien
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 16
20 Jan 2025, 04:30
20 Jan 2025, 04:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Learner … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Sonego
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
34/73 = 46.6%
Learner Tien
Ranking
#28
UTR Rating
15.89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
70/97 = 72.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7179 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3314 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -285.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23.3213 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -24.5339 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7526 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -7.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47.7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71.0486 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46.7532 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71.2871 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 97.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0685 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.9787 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.7514 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6.2829 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.2237 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9.2388 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.4939 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2821 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6092 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4688 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.8612 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.3228 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.7277 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0117 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1995 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9282 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.6497 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1093
API ID
13300907
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1093,
"api_id": 13300907,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Sonego",
"player2": "Learner Tien",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-20T04:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 48,
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"wr_surface": 46.57534246575342,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
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"form_l10_matches": 7
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"p2": {
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"wr_surface": 72.16494845360825,
"wr_surface_wins": 70,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 7,
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"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 97,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0684931506849315,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.97869812252965,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.75144268774703,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.282865903278292,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.223719774471064,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.238755812601717,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4939182748198094,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.282122905027933,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6091549295774648,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46875,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.861165653770147,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.32277404729,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.727686008349302,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.011727272727272697,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19948593350383625,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
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"utr_advantage": -1.6497461928933994,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}