Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mackenzie McDonald
Almaty | Hard | Round of 32
15 Oct 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jan-Lennard … Mackenzie … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking #113
UTR Rating 14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,3140
log_rank_ratio 0,2730
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 160,0000
best_rank_diff 16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15,0748
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,5939
surface_matches_ratio 0,6081
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,6680
surface_wr_p2 55,7428
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,8163
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,4103
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 74,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,9512
first_serve_won_diff 3,9776
second_serve_won_diff -2,5962
bp_saved_diff -2,7315
bp_converted_diff -12,0198
aces_per_match_diff 3,8706
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,1700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0771
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5725
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4643
serve_consistency_p1 11,2882
serve_consistency_p2 6,3459
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,1160
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1203
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0844
elite_surface_amplifier -15,0748
UTR
utr_diff 0,3600
utr_p1 0,8376
utr_p2 0,7953
utr_advantage 2,4096
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 10940
API ID 14869770
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Almaty
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10940,
    "api_id": 14869770,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
    "tournament": "Almaty",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-10-15T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 15.12,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 113,
      "utr_singles": 14.76,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.12,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.76,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "rank_ratio": 1.313953488372093,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.27304052245883276,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 160,
    "best_rank_diff": 16,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.074777597242303,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.593929879644165,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6081081081081081,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.66801619433198,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.742793791574286,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.816326530612244,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.41025641025641,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 74,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.951169600617618,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9776242178873673,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.596226783486081,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.731486171081812,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.019790434212766,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.870612763359876,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.000000000000004,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.170000000000002,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0771349862258952,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.288214471052036,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.345867709097565,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.116025151101746,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12031983805668017,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08442793791574288,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -15.074777597242303,
    "utr_diff": 0.35999999999999943,
    "utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.7952941176470588,
    "utr_advantage": 2.4096385542168637,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}