Rinky Hijikata vs Flavio Cobolli
Almaty | Hard | Round of 16
15 Oct 2025, 10:30
15 Oct 2025, 10:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rinky … | Flavio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking
#114
UTR Rating
14.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#190
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
56/99 = 56.6%
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
41/75 = 54.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -92.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1930 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.6452 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -1469.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -45.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9.1616 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.8803 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3200 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56.0311 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.8695 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.3107 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.4304 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 99.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 75.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1313 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.8078 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.6827 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.4980 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.5616 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.8720 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.0085 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18.6700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9627 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8024 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6596 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5484 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.6289 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0886 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -15.0723 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1523 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1233 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_advantage | -8.4937 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10944
API ID
14851666
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Almaty
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 14851666,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Rinky Hijikata",
"player2": "Flavio Cobolli",
"tournament": "Almaty",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-15T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.43,
"utr_ranking": 190,
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"wr_surface_total": 99,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.71,
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"wr_surface": 54.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 75,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1469,
"best_rank_diff": -45,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.161595096735795,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.32,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
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"p1_surface_matches": 99,
"p2_surface_matches": 75,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13131313131313133,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.8078331721470136,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.6827353720404687,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4980337747359016,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.5616057158352916,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.871963597486925,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.008527676853003,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 40.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.67,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9627329192546584,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8024096385542169,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6595744680851063,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5483870967741935,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.628897894600239,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.088633314102177,
"surface_rank_synergy": -15.07225309748896,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15231096563011448,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.12330498533724338,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.2800000000000011,
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"utr_advantage": -8.493696084936968,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
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}