Alejandro Tabilo vs Lorenzo Carboni
Olbia, Italy | Hard | Round of 32
14 Oct 2025, 15:00
14 Oct 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#81
UTR Rating
15.18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
29/53 = 54.7%
Lorenzo Carboni
Ranking
#428
UTR Rating
13.74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#519
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
4/6 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 347.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5.2840 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.6647 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 610.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 396.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12.3667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.0263 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8.8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.3000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.3860 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 53.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0943 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13.8010 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.2682 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.9318 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12.7464 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10.5428 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6.0437 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4.7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9153 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.3376 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.9417 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -20.5865 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.3040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.5137 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -24.7333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.6753 | |
| utr_advantage | 9.9585 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10966
API ID
14879215
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Olbia, Italy
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"player2": "Lorenzo Carboni",
"tournament": "Olbia, Italy",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-10-14T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"player_stats": {
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"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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"p2": {
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"utr": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 53,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09433962264150944,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.800973333333324,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.268199999999993,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.9317999999999813,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.746400000000015,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.542800000000014,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.043666666666665,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.700000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9152542372881356,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"surface_rank_synergy": -20.586468972579052,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.30400000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.5136666666666665,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -24.73333333333332,
"utr_diff": 1.4399999999999995,
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"utr_p2": 0.6752941176470588,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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