Arianne Hartono vs Lulu Sun
WTA 125K Jinan, China Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
15 Oct 2025, 06:00
15 Oct 2025, 06:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arianne … | Lulu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arianne Hartono
Ranking
#249
UTR Rating
11.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#283
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
19/35 = 54.3%
Lulu Sun
Ranking
#90
UTR Rating
12.28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
31/56 = 55.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -159.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3614 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.0176 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -531.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -96.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4.2632 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.1538 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48.4188 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.6820 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13.5195 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10.4960 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.3838 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9.3755 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9.0721 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.7782 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11.7310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6496 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6842 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.3775 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.7858 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4.3384 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1432 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1322 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.8600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5035 | |
| utr_advantage | -7.2574 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10968
API ID
14862940
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Jinan, China Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 10968,
"api_id": 14862940,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Arianne Hartono",
"player2": "Lulu Sun",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Jinan, China Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-15T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.42,
"utr_ranking": 283,
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"wr_surface": 54.285714285714285,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.28,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 55.35714285714286,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -531,
"best_rank_diff": -96,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.26318891836133,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08571428571428572,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.519537872089586,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.496015325670484,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3838314176245206,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.37547892720307,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.072107279693483,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.778190391983495,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.730999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6496350364963503,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6842105263157895,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.377528933565205,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.785794937050937,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.338405324501828,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14318803418803416,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13218007662835263,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8599999999999994,
"utr_p1": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -7.257383966244721,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}