Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gao
WTA 125K Jinan, China Women Singles | Hard | Round of 16
15 Oct 2025, 08:25
15 Oct 2025, 08:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Haruka … | Xinyu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Haruka Kaji
Ranking
#304
UTR Rating
11.06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#441
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
17% (6p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40.0%
Xinyu Gao
Ranking
#165
UTR Rating
11.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/27 = 51.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -139.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5428 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.6111 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -222.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -88.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20.1923 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.8372 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3704 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 32.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.6923 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.6129 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.9833 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.9300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.5300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 13.3800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6.9300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0703 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21.9600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.2079 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.6026 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12.3392 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0360 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1121 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.6200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4329 | |
| utr_advantage | -5.4529 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
10973
API ID
14862936
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Jinan, China Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"id": 10973,
"api_id": 14862936,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Haruka Kaji",
"player2": "Xinyu Gao",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Jinan, China Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-15T08:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.06,
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"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 16.666666666666664,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.68,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": -88,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.983340659340655,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.9299999999999926,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.529999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": 13.379999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.929999999999993,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0703296703296703,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.960000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.2079074509700165,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.60259838513204,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.339160363094678,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.035999999999999976,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11207692307692307,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6199999999999992,
"utr_p1": 0.36000000000000004,
"utr_p2": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_advantage": -5.452946350043968,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}