Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev
Almaty | Hard | Round of 16
16 Oct 2025, 08:40
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adam … Daniil … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adam Walton
Ranking #78
UTR Rating 14.84 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 78/134 = 58.2%
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking #17
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 59/87 = 67.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -65.0000
rank_ratio 0.1667
log_rank_ratio -1.7918
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -2020.0000
best_rank_diff -73.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11.8254
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9.0620
surface_matches_ratio 1.5402
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2.0000
surface_wr_p1 55.0463
surface_wr_p2 66.8717
surface_wr_p1_stable 57.9710
surface_wr_p2_stable 67.0330
p1_surface_matches 134.0000
p2_surface_matches 87.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1642
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8.8968
first_serve_won_diff -5.8298
second_serve_won_diff -2.6050
bp_saved_diff -2.2231
bp_converted_diff -3.2586
aces_per_match_diff -2.6002
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.6000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 40.0000
momentum_p2 60.0000
momentum_diff -20.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -31.3150
current_streak_diff 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff -4.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1.0000
h2h_on_surface 1.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9313
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8844
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5273
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6111
serve_consistency_p1 5.5400
serve_consistency_p2 6.0339
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21.1883
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1155
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1037
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.1000
utr_p1 0.8047
utr_p2 0.9341
utr_advantage -7.1475
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 10997
API ID 14851657
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Almaty
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 10997,
    "api_id": 14851657,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Adam Walton",
    "player2": "Daniil Medvedev",
    "tournament": "Almaty",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-10-16T08:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 78,
      "utr_singles": 14.84,
      "utr_ranking": 112,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.2089552238806,
      "wr_surface_wins": 78,
      "wr_surface_total": 134,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.94,
      "utr_ranking": 17,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.81609195402298,
      "wr_surface_wins": 59,
      "wr_surface_total": 87,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.84,
      "ranking": 112,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.94,
      "ranking": 17,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -65,
    "rank_ratio": 0.16666666666666666,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.791759469228055,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -2020,
    "best_rank_diff": -73,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.82538981186913,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.061952540213397,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5402298850574712,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.04629629629629,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.87168610816542,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.971014492753625,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.03296703296702,
    "p1_surface_matches": 134,
    "p2_surface_matches": 87,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16417910447761194,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.896847183928372,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.829821472055315,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6049885314795134,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.223081556105427,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.2586475786496933,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.600219944228428,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -31.315000000000012,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.93125,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.884375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5272727272727272,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.540013767024809,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.033924795835418,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.18825417272948,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11546296296296288,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10371686108165423,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -1.0999999999999996,
    "utr_p1": 0.8047058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.9341176470588235,
    "utr_advantage": -7.1474983755685475,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}