Leo Borg vs Denis Shapovalov
Stockholm | Hard | Round of 16
15 Oct 2025, 22:55
15 Oct 2025, 22:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leo … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leo Borg
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#685
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
2/7 = 28,6%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
23/37 = 62,2%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Leo Borg
Record 2025
31W - 28L (53%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Denis Shapovalov
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -477,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0460 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,0791 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1650,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -490,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,8514 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,4744 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1486 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 27,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,2564 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4545 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7233 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -19,2359 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,3243 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,1019 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,1751 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,8716 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,6256 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7597 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4545 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3332 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0436 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 104,2322 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2520 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3635 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,8400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | -12,7512 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11007
API ID
14851803
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Stockholm
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11007,
"api_id": 14851803,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Leo Borg",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Stockholm",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-10-15T18:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.51,
"utr_ranking": 685,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 31,
"utr_v4_losses": 28,
"utr_v4_wr": 52.54237288135594,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.52,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.59,
"opponent_name": "Johan Nikles"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.9,
"opponent_name": "Matthias Ujvary"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.14,
"opponent_name": "Stefan Kozlov"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.79,
"opponent_name": "Max Wiskandt"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.5,
"opponent_name": "Francisco Rocha"
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"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:17.780944+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.16216216216216,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.51,
"ranking": 685,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.35,
"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.046,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.079113882493042,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -1650,
"best_rank_diff": -490,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.851351351351354,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.474358974358978,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.14864864864864866,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 27.499999999999996,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.256410256410255,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.45454545454545453,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.7233333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -19.23593918918919,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.324256756756746,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.1018918918918885,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.175067567567567,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.6866891891891953,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.871621621621621,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666671,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 12.44444444444445,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.625555555555557,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7596685082872928,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.333240805747079,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.043605940517204,
"surface_rank_synergy": 104.23216588709556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.25199999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3634864864864865,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.8399999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.648235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": -12.751212751212751,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}