Fábián Marozsán vs Daniil Medvedev
Almaty | Hard | Quarterfinals
17 Oct 2025, 11:50
17 Oct 2025, 11:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fábián … | Daniil … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/31 = 51,6%
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
15,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
30/46 = 65,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2553 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3652 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1845,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15,2881 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,5624 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7356 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,5836 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,8717 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4706 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 67,0330 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0313 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,9554 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,2629 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6166 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,3352 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,9345 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0195 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0445 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8844 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6111 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4584 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0210 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,8720 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0508 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1337 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
11040
API ID
14851667
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Almaty
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 11040,
"api_id": 14851667,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"player2": "Daniil Medvedev",
"tournament": "Almaty",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-10-17T07:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 47,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 15.81,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 8,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.2553191489361702,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3652409519220583,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1845,
"best_rank_diff": -35,
"surface_wr_diff": -15.288108395555454,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.562378797672906,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.735632183908046,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 66.87168610816542,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.470588235294116,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.03296703296702,
"p1_surface_matches": 64,
"p2_surface_matches": 87,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03125,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.955362221399845,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.262914607712943,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.616575258969469,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.335207408812579,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.934485310810004,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0194661699262664,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.14999999999999147,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.044502617801047,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.884375,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.45843497224051,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.020979903427169,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.87195165903574,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05083577712609966,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13371686108165415,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}