Fábián Marozsán vs Daniil Medvedev
Almaty | Hard | Quarterfinals
17 Oct 2025, 07:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fábián … Daniil … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #51
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 33/64 = 51.6%
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking #17
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 59/87 = 67.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38.0000
rank_ratio 0.2549
log_rank_ratio -1.3669
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -1735.0000
best_rank_diff -35.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -15.2881
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15.5624
surface_matches_ratio 0.7356
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 51.5836
surface_wr_p2 66.8717
surface_wr_p1_stable 51.4706
surface_wr_p2_stable 67.0330
p1_surface_matches 64.0000
p2_surface_matches 87.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0313
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9.9554
first_serve_won_diff -6.2629
second_serve_won_diff -2.6166
bp_saved_diff 1.3352
bp_converted_diff -3.9345
aces_per_match_diff -3.0195
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 78.0000
momentum_p2 70.0000
momentum_diff 8.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0.1500
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 6.0000
match_load_diff -3.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0445
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8844
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6111
serve_consistency_p1 9.4584
serve_consistency_p2 6.0210
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20.8970
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0538
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1307
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0000
utr_p1 0.9341
utr_p2 0.9341
utr_advantage 0.0000
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11040
API ID 14851667
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Almaty
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11040,
    "api_id": 14851667,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "player2": "Daniil Medvedev",
    "tournament": "Almaty",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-10-17T07:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 51,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.5625,
      "wr_surface_wins": 33,
      "wr_surface_total": 64,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.94,
      "utr_ranking": 17,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.81609195402298,
      "wr_surface_wins": 59,
      "wr_surface_total": 87,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.94,
      "ranking": 17,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2549019607843137,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3668762752627892,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -1735,
    "best_rank_diff": -35,
    "surface_wr_diff": -15.288108395555454,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.562378797672906,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.735632183908046,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.583577712609966,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.87168610816542,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.470588235294116,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.03296703296702,
    "p1_surface_matches": 64,
    "p2_surface_matches": 87,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.03125,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.955362221399845,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.262914607712943,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.616575258969469,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.335207408812579,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.934485310810004,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.0194661699262664,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.14999999999999147,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.044502617801047,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.884375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.45843497224051,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.020979903427169,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.896952659530616,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05383577712609966,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13071686108165415,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.9341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.9341176470588235,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}