Jacob Fearnley vs Elias Ymer
Stockholm | Hard | Round of 16
16 Oct 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jacob … Elias … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking #71
UTR Rating 15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking #44
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 46/66 = 69.7%
Elias Ymer
Ranking #173
UTR Rating 14.14 Pro
UTR Ranking #305
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 31/63 = 49.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 102.0000
rank_ratio 2.4366
log_rank_ratio 0.8906
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 450.0000
best_rank_diff 56.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7.9380
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19.3177
surface_matches_ratio 1.0476
surface_tournaments_won_diff 4.0000
surface_wr_p1 64.0809
surface_wr_p2 56.1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 68.5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 49.2537
p1_surface_matches 66.0000
p2_surface_matches 63.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3939
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.8233
first_serve_won_diff -2.5970
second_serve_won_diff 6.3098
bp_saved_diff 2.9711
bp_converted_diff -2.4763
aces_per_match_diff 0.1144
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 60.0000
momentum_p2 40.0000
momentum_diff 20.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 33.2260
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8867
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6842
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4000
serve_consistency_p1 4.5329
serve_consistency_p2 12.2806
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7.0697
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0388
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1634
elite_surface_amplifier 7.9380
UTR
utr_diff 1.5000
utr_p1 0.8988
utr_p2 0.7224
utr_advantage 10.0739
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11048
API ID 14851811
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stockholm
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11048,
    "api_id": 14851811,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
    "player2": "Elias Ymer",
    "tournament": "Stockholm",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-10-16T19:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 71,
      "utr_singles": 15.64,
      "utr_ranking": 44,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.6969696969697,
      "wr_surface_wins": 46,
      "wr_surface_total": 66,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 173,
      "utr_singles": 14.14,
      "utr_ranking": 305,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 49.2063492063492,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 63,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.64,
      "ranking": 44,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.14,
      "ranking": 305,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 102,
    "rank_ratio": 2.436619718309859,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8906117174564635,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 450,
    "best_rank_diff": 56,
    "surface_wr_diff": 7.938025210084028,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.317697228144986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0476190476190477,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.08088235294117,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.142857142857146,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.25373134328358,
    "p1_surface_matches": 66,
    "p2_surface_matches": 63,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3939393939393939,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.8232953781512649,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.5970173319327756,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.3097599789916,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.971056722689063,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.476298319327732,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.1144380252100845,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "momentum_diff": 20.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 33.226,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6842105263157895,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.532914930715842,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.280610061959575,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.06969826556564,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03880882352941173,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16342857142857148,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 7.938025210084028,
    "utr_diff": 1.5,
    "utr_p1": 0.8988235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.7223529411764706,
    "utr_advantage": 10.073875083948959,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}